The minimum supply value is 5399 MW/day, and the maximum value is 18233 MW/day. Using the collected dataset, the supply and demand of electricity in 15 provinces in Iraq were predicted. The structural time-series modeling approach was applied to annual data for the period between 2019 and 2021, using estimated equations and value assumptions.
To date, there are no studies that address the issue of electrical energy in Iraq in terms of forecasting demand and prices. Many power plants were built in Iraq between the mid-1970s and 1980s, with a few small gas-fired plants operating in 2003.
After 2003, Iraq was opened to the global energy market. The 2014 report from the United Nations Development Program (UNDP) shows that 35% of Iraqis demand the provision of electricity and consider it a top priority . The electricity grid in Iraq has been severely damaged by wars, successive conflicts, and economic sanctions in the 1990s.
Energy demand issue in Iraq The unstable security situation in Iraq has had a negative impact on electric power generation, which results in a shortage of supply. Additionally, the newly introduced technologies, the lack of strategic planning, mismanagement, and infrastructure together increase the energy demand in Iraq.
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This study emphasizes the importance of accurate energy forecasting for energy security, resource allocation, and policy-making in Iraq. It provides tools for decision-makers to …
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On August 11, 2025, Iraq suffered another massive power outage. This was not an isolated technical failure, but the inevitable result of a long-term, systemic collapse in the country''s …
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