Battery storage costs have evolved rapidly over the past several years, necessitating an update to storage cost projections used in long-term planning models and other activities. This work documents the development of these projections, which are based on recent publications of storage costs.
By definition, the projections follow the same trajectories as the normalized cost values. Storage costs are $147/kWh, $234/kWh, and $339/kWh in 2035 and $108/kWh, $178/kWh, and $307/kWh in 2050. Costs for each year and each trajectory are included in the Appendix, including costs for years after 2050. Figure 4.
The lower costs persist through 2050 because of that lower starting point. Table 2. Values from Figure 3 and Figure 4, which show the normalized and absolute storage costs over time. Storage costs are overnight capital costs for a complete 4-hour battery system. Figure 9.
Storage costs are overnight capital costs for a complete 4-hour battery system. Figure 9. Comparison of cost projections developed in this report (solid lines) against the values from the 2023 cost projection report (Cole and Karmakar 2023) (dashed lines). Figure 10.
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